XRP Price Prediction: 2025-2040 Outlook Amid Critical Technical Test

#XRP

• Critical technical support at $2.03 being tested with bearish MACD momentum
• Potential native staking capability represents fundamental long-term value driver
• Large token movements by Ripple creating near-term supply uncertainty

XRP Price Prediction

XRP Technical Analysis: Critical Support Test Underway

XRP is currently trading at $2.0009, testing the lower Bollinger Band at $2.0301, which serves as immediate support. The 20-day moving average at $2.2943 presents resistance overhead. MACD indicators show bearish momentum with the signal line above the MACD line at -0.0092, suggesting continued downward pressure in the NEAR term.

According to BTCC financial analyst Olivia, 'The breach below the 20-day MA and approach toward Bollinger Band support indicates weakening momentum. A hold above $2.0301 could stabilize the asset, while a break below may trigger further selling toward $1.80 levels.'

Market Sentiment: Mixed Signals Amid Ecosystem Developments

Current market sentiment reflects caution as technical weakness coincides with potentially transformative ecosystem news. The mention of native staking capability represents a fundamental positive, while large token movements by Ripple create uncertainty about near-term supply dynamics.

BTCC financial analyst Olivia notes, 'The staking development could drive long-term value through enhanced utility, but the 200 million XRP transfer suggests institutional positioning that may pressure prices in the short term. These conflicting signals require careful monitoring of both technical levels and fundamental developments.'

Factors Influencing XRP's Price

XRP Price Prediction: Brutal Sell-Off Threatens Critical Support Levels

XRP faces a precipitous decline, shedding 16% in a single week as it approaches the critical $2 threshold. Trading volumes surged 27% in 24 hours, reflecting heightened market panic. The Fear and Greed Index has plummeted to 15—a level last seen during April's market turmoil—signaling deepening investor anxiety.

Despite the launch of a new US-listed XRP ETF, the token remains caught in the broader crypto downdraft. Open interest in XRP futures has collapsed to November lows, when Trump-related speculation briefly buoyed markets. A breach below $2 could trigger cascading liquidations, with technical charts suggesting potential downside targets at $1.75 (17% drop) or even $1.47 (30% decline).

While yesterday's bounce off trendline support offers temporary respite, the risk of structural breakdown looms large. Market makers appear reluctant to defend key levels as regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic headwinds converge. The coming sessions will test whether this is merely a healthy correction or the start of something more sinister.

Ripple Engineer Hints at Native Staking for XRP in Major Ecosystem Evolution

RippleX's Head of Engineering, J. Ayo Akinyele, has signaled a potential paradigm shift for XRP, suggesting the network may introduce native staking capabilities. This development could redefine XRP's utility in institutional finance and asset settlement markets.

The announcement follows XRP's maturation from a payment rail to a multi-asset platform, evidenced by Canary's pioneering XRP Spot ETF launch. Institutional adoption is accelerating, with tokenized treasuries and money market funds gaining traction among traditional players.

Ripple's CTO David Schwartz is reportedly collaborating on the staking infrastructure, though implementation details remain undisclosed. The move WOULD position XRP competitively against proof-of-stake networks while preserving its settlement speed advantages.

Ripple Moves 200 Million XRP Amid Market Uncertainty

Ripple Labs has transferred 200 million XRP, valued at approximately $445 million, from a known wallet to an unknown destination. The transaction, executed on November 18, 2025, at 16:22:00 UTC, cost a negligible fee of 0.00004 XRP. At the time of the transfer, XRP was trading around $2.22.

The movement has reignited concerns among investors, given Ripple's status as the largest single holder of XRP, controlling roughly 42% of the total supply. Market participants are speculating whether this signals a strategic shift or potential sell-off, particularly as XRP's price continues to struggle in a prolonged downtrend.

Blockchain monitors flagged the transaction via Whale Alert, but Ripple has yet to clarify the purpose behind the transfer. The lack of transparency fuels unease in a market already sensitive to large-scale movements by major holders.

XRP Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Based on current technical positioning and fundamental developments, XRP faces near-term pressure but maintains long-term potential. The current test of critical support at $2.03 will determine short-term direction, while ecosystem evolution through potential staking capabilities could drive adoption over longer horizons.

BTCC financial analyst Olivia emphasizes that 'these projections assume successful navigation of current technical challenges and realization of ecosystem growth potential. Market conditions, regulatory developments, and adoption rates will significantly influence actual outcomes.'